Bloomberg Terminal for probability estimation
A real-time intelligence platform that surfaces the relationship between prediction markets and financial markets — built to sharpen the timing of the decisions that matter most.
What the platform will do
Market Relationship Monitor
Real-time visualization of how prediction market probabilities move in relation to equity, options, commodity, and macro data. See where markets agree and where they diverge — across 300+ tracked events simultaneously.
Environment Signal
A composite score derived from liquidity, trend, and fragility indicators across financial markets. Not a prediction — a read on whether conditions favor aggressive positioning or defensive posture. Updated weekly, backtested to 2007.
“So What” Analysis
When an event resolves, the platform answers the follow-on question: what does this mean across industries? How does a Fed decision, an election outcome, or a macro shock propagate — and what does that mean for your business specifically?
Probability API
Calibrated probability estimates via REST API. ECE-validated, updated in real-time, with confidence intervals and full source attribution across PM, options, and macro inputs.
Custom & Proprietary Data Integration
For enterprise clients: plug your internal data, proprietary feeds, or organizational prediction markets into the analytical framework. Build forecasting infrastructure tailored to your industry and decisions.
The problem with probability today
Right now, the tools for understanding the future are scattered. Prediction markets live in one place. Options-implied probabilities in another. Macro data somewhere else. These sources disagree — often significantly — and there's no platform that reconciles them or tells you what the disagreement means.
The Hanaska Data Platform is that reconciliation layer. But more than showing you the numbers, it tells you what they imply for timing. When should you go to market? When should you cut exposure? When do conditions favor a bold move, and when do they call for patience?
The goal isn't to tell clients what to do. It's to make sure that when they decide, they're deciding with the full picture — not just one market's opinion of the future. The data infrastructure is already running. The models are live. The platform is the delivery mechanism that makes this intelligence accessible at scale.
Join the waitlist
Be the first to access the platform when it launches. Early waitlist members will shape the product roadmap.
Platform still months away. Consulting available now.
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